Ryuichi wrote: ↑Wed Dec 18, 2019 7:11 am
Randy from Boise wrote: ↑Wed Dec 18, 2019 3:55 am
Big field = lower support percentages.
t
Interesting thought. I'm intrigued by the reasoning. I could see it easily if each voter were limited in the number of support votes, but there's nothing to stop them from voting for all the candidates. Or is it just observation from historical ACEs?
I've observed it before. Think of it like this:
The percentage = Support / (Support + Oppose)
Neutrals are totally ignored.
Let's say there were four candidates to elect 3. Those voters strategic voting would tend to cast 3 support votes and 1 oppose vote. These oppose votes would probably scatter (unless Kudpung was one of the four candidates!) but 75% of the votes being cast would tend to be supports and these would stack up fast, versus a smattering of opposes. High support percentage.
Now let's say there were ten candidates to elect 3. Sure, lots of neutrals might be cast, but they are all tossed from consideration. Those voting strategically are going to tend to cast 3 support ballots and seven opposes — 70% of the ballots being cast one way or the other are going to tend to be opposes, only 30% supports. So the No Snow is gonna stack up for everybody, even New York Brad. And poor Kudpung! He might even get beat by the pie lady.
This is the general principle that causes big fields to have relatively lower support percentages than small fields.
RfB